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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Mainz logo

FC Koln
3 - 2
Mainz 05

Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Mainz 05

Both sides will be keen to return to winning ways as they look to end the campaign on a high by securing at least a top-half finish. The visitors have struggled away from home for some time, and although they were victorious in their last visit to Koln, we feel that the hosts will do enough to claim all three points, especially if Modeste is fit to lead the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
45.49%24.22%30.28%
Both teams to score 58.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15%43.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76%66.24%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73%51.27%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.88%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.49%
    Mainz 05 30.28%
    Draw 24.22%
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.28%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Mainz 05

FC Koln
Draw
Mainz 05
FC Koln
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Mainz 05
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
FC Koln
2-3
Mainz 05
Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')
Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
0-1
FC Koln

Niakhate (37'), Latza (45+1'), Onisiwo (67'), Stoger (75')
Rexhbecaj (55')
Ozcan (70'), Duda (75'), Horn (81')
Duda (76')
May 17, 2020 2.30pm
Oct 25, 2019 7.30pm
Mainz 05
3-1
FC Koln
Boetius (21'), Quaison (57'), Oztunali (82')
Kunde (48'), Niakhate (60')
Terodde (14')
Bornauw (41'), Hector (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen321911268373168
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32168863432056
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund321561164491551
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
10Stuttgart32128125751644
11Augsburg321110113445-1143
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
15St Pauli3287172637-1131
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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