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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
45.49% | 24.22% | 30.28% |
Both teams to score 58.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.15% | 43.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% | 66.24% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% | 19.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.73% | 51.27% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% | 27.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% | 62.88% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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