Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FC Koln0 - 1Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: FC Koln 1-3 Freiburg
After opening up a 10-point gap ahead of the relegation places by beating Hoffenheim last time out, Koln can play with a little more freedom during the closing weeks of the campaign, and we expect their matches to be entertaining as a result. For Freiburg, this is a pivotal week as they look to strengthen their position within the top four and reach a second successive DFB-Pokal final, and we believe that Streich's side will earn another vital victory on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
51.37% ( -0.04) | 24.73% ( 0.02) | 23.9% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( -0.06) | 50.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( -0.05) | 72.45% ( 0.05) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.04) | 19.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.06) | 51.64% ( 0.06) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.38% ( -0.02) | 72.62% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
FC Koln 51.37%
Freiburg 23.9%
Draw 24.73%
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.9% |
How you voted: FC Koln vs Freiburg
FC Koln
18.6%Draw
4.7%Freiburg
76.7%43
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
Form Guide
