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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Freiburg logo

FC Koln
0 - 1
Freiburg


Martel (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (54')
Hofler (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Freiburg

 After opening up a 10-point gap ahead of the relegation places by beating Hoffenheim last time out, Koln can play with a little more freedom during the closing weeks of the campaign, and we expect their matches to be entertaining as a result. For Freiburg, this is a pivotal week as they look to strengthen their position within the top four and reach a second successive DFB-Pokal final, and we believe that Streich's side will earn another vital victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)50.53% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (-0.055 -0.05)72.45% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)19.66% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (-0.064 -0.06)51.64% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.02 -0.02)72.62% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 51.37%
    Freiburg 23.9%
    Draw 24.73%
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.9%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Freiburg

FC Koln
18.6%
Draw
4.7%
Freiburg
76.7%
43
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 13
Freiburg
2-0
FC Koln
Woo-yeong (53'), Gregoritsch (64')

Schindler (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 21
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
May 9, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 32
FC Koln
1-4
Freiburg
Andersson (50')
Horn (37'), Andersson (47')
Petersen (18'), Demirovic (20'), Grifo (90+3'), Schmid (90+6')
Demirovic (41'), Lienhart (81')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Freiburg
5-0
FC Koln
Demirovic (18'), Hofler (39'), Sallai (59'), Lienhart (69'), Holer (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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