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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
79.51% ( -0.01) | 12.62% ( 0.01) | 7.86% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.95% ( -0.01) | 27.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.44% ( -0.01) | 47.55% ( 0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.7% ( -0.01) | 5.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.13% ( -0.01) | 20.87% ( 0.01) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.37% ( 0.01) | 42.63% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.02% ( 0.01) | 78.97% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-0 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.14% 4-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.55% 6-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 5.28% Total : 79.51% | 1-1 @ 5.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.62% | 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 7.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |