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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
37.22% ( -0.17) | 24.56% ( -0.01) | 38.21% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% ( 0.07) | 43.6% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% ( 0.07) | 65.99% ( -0.06) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% ( -0.06) | 23.21% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% ( -0.09) | 57.11% ( 0.09) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( 0.13) | 22.7% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.64% ( 0.19) | 56.36% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
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