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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Koln logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
FC Koln

Dolberg (90+4')
Brooks (29')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kainz (18' pen.), Selke (39'), Thielmann (90+2')
Selke (26'), Schwabe (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 3-1 FC Koln

Hoffenheim are on a serious roll at this present moment in time, having moved five points clear of the relegation zone after taking 10 points from a possible 12 in recent weeks. With Kramaric back to his goalscoring best, we expect them to have a little too much for Koln, who would see their opponents move above them in the table should they succumb to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
47.41% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 23.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 29.1% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.27% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (0.063000000000002 0.06)41.16% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (0.062999999999995 0.06)63.55% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)48.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.055000000000007 0.06)26.85% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.073 0.07)62.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 47.41%
    FC Koln 29.1%
    Draw 23.49%
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs FC Koln

Hoffenheim
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
FC Koln
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 12
FC Koln
1-1
Hoffenheim
Kainz (13')
Bruun Larsen (36')
Kabak (7')
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 25
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 8
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 1
FC Koln
2-3
Hoffenheim
Andersson (22'), Drexler (86')
Bornauw (33'), Duda (69'), Hector (85')
Kramaric (4', 45+3', 90+2')
Bicakcic (45+5'), Bebou (90'), Baumann (90'), Kaderabek (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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