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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
54.7% (![]() | 22.6% (![]() | 22.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.37% (![]() | 42.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% (![]() | 65.03% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% (![]() | 15.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% (![]() | 44.41% (![]() |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% (![]() | 32.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.91% (![]() | 69.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.41% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.93% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65 | 19 | 46 | 55 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 47 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 39 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Stuttgart | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 35 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 34 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 33 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 24 |
14 | St Pauli | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 14 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 14 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 13 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |