Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Werder Bremen2 - 1FC Koln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heidenheim 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Baumgart has been loath to label Koln's current predicament a "crisis", and with good reason too, as the Billy Goats have only been bested by Borussia Dortmund in their last six away games and can restore a small slice of pride against a leaky Werder Bremen crop. The hosts are very rarely kept at arm's length in front of their own fans, though, and we can see another low-scoring draw being played out between the two sides, as was the case four months ago. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
24.26% ( -0.01) | 22.44% ( 0) | 53.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
