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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Koln logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
FC Koln

Paredes (40')
Svanberg (57'), Maehle (68'), Paredes (73'), Lacroix (77'), Pejcinovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alidou (38')
Schmitz (43'), Ljubicic (45+8'), Huseinbasic (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-4 Dortmund
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-0 FC Koln

Neither side have been scoring prolifically this season, meaning that there is unlikely to be many goals scored when they meet in Lower Saxony on Saturday. Both managers will be lamenting injuries to key attacking personnel. However, Wolfsburg have at least managed to score in both of their matches since returning from the winter break, and if they can do so again, we can envisage that being enough to return to winning ways against Koln. The visitors appear destined for relegation this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
36.56% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 24.29% (-0.023 -0.02) 39.15% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.34% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (0.099999999999994 0.1)42.3% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (0.099000000000004 0.1)64.71% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.97% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)56.76% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.108 0.11)21.66% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.169 0.17)54.79% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 36.56%
    FC Koln 39.15%
    Draw 24.28%
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.15%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs FC Koln

Wolfsburg
82.1%
Draw
3.6%
FC Koln
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
FC Koln
1-2
Wolfsburg
Waldschmidt (55')
Adamyan (49')
Wind (62', 72')
Cerny (58'), Majer (79'), Wind (89'), Arnold (89'), Zesiger (90+4')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
FC Koln
0-2
Wolfsburg
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
FC Koln
0-1
Wolfsburg
Gerhardt (43')
Nmecha (50'), Bialek (90+4')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern22174165194655
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen22138149272247
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2210753629737
5Freiburg2211382936-736
6Stuttgart2210574033735
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2210483532334
8Wolfsburg229674536933
9Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund228593738-129
12Augsburg227782435-1128
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2266102129-824
14St Pauli2263131825-721
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2235142146-2514
18Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113


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