MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:07:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Freiburg

Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg

 Werder Bremen will be brimming with confidence ahead of this match following a historic victory over Bayern Munich last week and having avoided defeat in their last five league games. However, despite their uptick in form, they now face a side that they have not beaten in their last five attempts and are in the midst of the race for a place in Europe next season. This looks like a very level match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
34.08% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 24.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 41.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.06% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)24.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)58.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.63% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)53.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 34.08%
    Freiburg 41.64%
    Draw 24.27%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
41.4%
Draw
27.6%
Freiburg
31.0%
29
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!