Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin2 - 0FC Koln
Hollerbach (55'), Datro Fofana (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 1-0 FC Koln
Union have shown more promising signs under Bjelica, and they will want to quickly get over their woeful result at the weekend against a side they have a good recent record over. Koln have not beaten Union since a second-tier encounter in 2014, and their current woes in front of goal suggest they may struggle to get anything here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
46.66% ( 0.53) | 25.11% ( -0.02) | 28.23% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.21) | 48.88% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( -0.19) | 70.98% ( 0.19) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.14) | 20.98% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.26% ( 0.23) | 53.74% ( -0.23) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.48) | 31.42% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0.56) | 67.79% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
Union Berlin 46.66%
FC Koln 28.23%
Draw 25.1%
| Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.66% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.23% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln
Union Berlin
58.0%Draw
26.0%FC Koln
16.0%50
Form Guide
