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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Wolfsburg

FC Koln
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Hector (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Svanberg (73'), Nmecha (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 FC Koln
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Wolfsburg

FC Koln have suffered a solitary defeat in six games since the restart, picking up positive results against the likes of Bayern Munich, RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, while Wolfsburg have lost three of their last four outings. On top of that, Koln's recent record at RheinEnergieStadion is hugely impressive, so we expect the Billy Goats to edge out the Wolves on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
45.99% (0.29499999999999 0.29) 24.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 29.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.96% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.269 -0.27)46.87% (0.267 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.253 -0.25)69.13% (0.251 0.25)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)29.65% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.442 -0.44)65.7% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.99%
    Wolfsburg 29.23%
    Draw 24.77%
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Wolfsburg

FC Koln
75.0%
Draw
13.3%
Wolfsburg
11.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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