Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
0 - 2
Wolfsburg

Hector (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Svanberg (73'), Nmecha (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 FC Koln
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Wolfsburg

FC Koln have suffered a solitary defeat in six games since the restart, picking up positive results against the likes of Bayern Munich, RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, while Wolfsburg have lost three of their last four outings. On top of that, Koln's recent record at RheinEnergieStadion is hugely impressive, so we expect the Billy Goats to edge out the Wolves on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Wolfsburg
45.99% ( 0.29)	24.77% ( 0.02)	29.23% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.12% (

-0.27)

46.87% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

-0.25)

69.13% (

0.25)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.02)

20.45% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

0.03)

52.9% (

-0.03)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

-0.36)

29.65% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

-0.44)

65.7% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 45.99%

Wolfsburg 29.23%

Draw 24.77%

FC Koln	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.99%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.23%