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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Wolfsburg

FC Koln
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Hector (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Svanberg (73'), Nmecha (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 FC Koln
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Wolfsburg

FC Koln have suffered a solitary defeat in six games since the restart, picking up positive results against the likes of Bayern Munich, RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, while Wolfsburg have lost three of their last four outings. On top of that, Koln's recent record at RheinEnergieStadion is hugely impressive, so we expect the Billy Goats to edge out the Wolves on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
45.99% (0.29499999999999 0.29) 24.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 29.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.96% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.269 -0.27)46.87% (0.267 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.253 -0.25)69.13% (0.251 0.25)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)29.65% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.442 -0.44)65.7% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.99%
    Wolfsburg 29.23%
    Draw 24.77%
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Wolfsburg

FC Koln
Draw
Wolfsburg
FC Koln
75.0%
Draw
13.3%
Wolfsburg
11.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331911370412968
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32168863432056
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund331661168511754
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
10Stuttgart32128125751644
11Augsburg321110113445-1143
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
15St Pauli3287172637-1131
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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