Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
0 - 5
Wolfsburg

Rogel (28'), Lukebakio (30')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Svanberg (4'), Arnold (31' pen.), Wind (34'), Baku (72'), Marmoush (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg boss Kovac will be forced into a couple of unwanted alterations for Tuesday's game, but the defensively-sound and clinical visitors will be expected to extend their impressive winning run here. Hertha tend to do well on the goalscoring front at home, but Wolfsburg have tightened up at the back ten-fold over the winter period and should encounter few issues en route to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
38.2% ( -0.3)	25.38% ( -0.06)	36.42% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

0.31)

47.41% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

0.28)

69.63% (

-0.28)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58% (

-0.02)

24.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16% (

-0.03)

58.84% (

0.03)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.35)

25.39% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

0.47)

60.2% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 38.2%

Wolfsburg 36.42%

Draw 25.38%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.2%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.42%