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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Bornauw (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forsberg (14'), Laimer (85'), Szoboszlai (90+2')
Raum (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 0-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 RB Leipzig

With both sides struggling for form in recent weeks, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Wolfsburg on Saturday. Although Leipzig undoubtedly possess more individual quality than their forthcoming opponents do, Kovac's side have become increasingly tough to beat, while they have the advantage of playing without European football this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
18.18% (0.07 0.07) 19.45% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 62.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71% (-0.133 -0.13)34.29% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.81% (-0.15 -0.15)56.19% (0.147 0.15)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.05% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)10.58% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.65% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)34.35% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.18%
    RB Leipzig 62.37%
    Draw 19.45%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.86% (0.025 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 18.18%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 62.37%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
23.8%
Draw
25.4%
RB Leipzig
50.8%
63
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
May 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Wolfsburg
Kluivert (51'), Sabitzer (78' pen.)
Henrichs (20'), Konate (36'), Sabitzer (45')
Philipp (12', 45+1')
Mbabu (52'), Arnold (60'), Baku (86')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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