Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stuttgart
1 - 1
Mainz

Guirassy (36')
Wamangituka (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ingvartsen (40' pen.)
Kohr (62'), Barreiro (79'), Fulgini (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz 05

With both teams potentially missing some important players through injury and likely to still be finding their rhythm in their first competitive match for more than two months, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Stuttgart on Saturday. The hosts should be buoyed by the return of a successful former manager in their dugout, but Svensson's Mainz are generally a tough nut to crack and will not want to return with a defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
49.29% ( -0.43)	23.79% ( -0.02)	26.92% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56% (

0.45)

44% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.61% (

0.43)

66.38% (

-0.44)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

17.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

0.01)

48.79% (

-0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14% (

0.58)

29.86% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05% (

0.69)

65.95% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 49.29%

Mainz 05 26.92%

Draw 23.78%

Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.29%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.92%