Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Mainz1 - 1Wolfsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Mainz
Saturday, January 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, January 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayern
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Wolfsburg
Neither side were scoring freely prior to the winter break, and it is difficult to imagine things changing much here. The respective teamsheets could prove telling, as if either manager opts to switch from a back five to a back four, that could suggest a more offensive gameplan. Given Mainz's precarious position in the table and Wolfsburg's poor away form this season, we can envisage these sides sharing the spoils. This would represent a reasonably positive start to 2024 for both teams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
30.73% ( 0.05) | 24.57% ( -0.07) | 44.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.33) | 45.23% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0.31) | 67.57% ( -0.32) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.2) | 27.8% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.26) | 63.39% ( -0.26) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( 0.14) | 20.34% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.27% ( 0.22) | 52.73% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 30.73%
Wolfsburg 44.69%
Draw 24.57%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.69% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg
Mainz 05
30.8%Draw
34.6%Wolfsburg
34.6%26
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
