MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 14:13:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Wolfsburg

Borussia M'bach
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Cvancara (16'), Reitz (42'), Honorat (64'), Plea (71')
Elvedi (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Arnold (33'), Vranckx (69'), Cozza (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-2 Wolfsburg

Four of the last seven meetings between these sides have ended in draws, with Gladbach winning the other three games, while both sides had to settle on sharing the spoils last weekend. As such, we would not be surprised to see another draw play out on Friday night, but it should be an entertaining one given that these teams have been much more proficient at attacking than defending in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
44.69% (0.691 0.69) 22.57% (-0.167 -0.17) 32.74% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 65.79% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.643 0.64)34.78% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.715 0.71)56.75% (-0.715 -0.72)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.51700000000001 0.52)16.16% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (0.934 0.93)45.61% (-0.934 -0.93)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.69%
    Wolfsburg 32.74%
    Draw 22.57%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.059 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
53.2%
Draw
32.3%
Wolfsburg
14.5%
62
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsburg
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Gerhardt (43'), Marmoush (69')
Thuram (13', 48')
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thuram (42'), Embolo (82')
Sommer (34'), Beyer (65')
Wind (6'), Bornauw (33')
Philipp (37'), Baku (37'), Casteels (76'), Gerhardt (90+3')
Lacroix (70')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Waldschmidt (25')
Bornauw (4'), Baku (10'), Mbabu (59'), Lacroix (67'), Weghorst (81'), Roussillon (90+3')
Lacroix (76')
Embolo (5'), Hofmann (7'), Scally (90+5')
Stindl (35'), Zakaria (36'), Beyer (71')
Feb 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
0-0
Borussia M'bach
Brooks (11')
Bensebaini (7'), Plea (79'), Embolo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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