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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
47.68% (![]() | 22.05% (![]() | 30.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.56% (![]() | 33.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.77% (![]() | 55.22% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.42% (![]() | 14.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.35% (![]() | 42.65% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.04% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 7.05% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |