MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:16:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Wolfsburg

Mainz
0 - 3
Wolfsburg


Stach (75'), Svensson (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 6-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg have been in good form and have shown they are very difficult to beat. With Mainz coming off a 6-2 defeat, we would expect them to bounce back in this game but overall, it will be a tight affair and a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
48.44% (-0.326 -0.33) 24.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 27.06% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.26% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)47.06% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.022000000000002 0.02)69.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (-0.125 -0.13)19.49% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63% (-0.203 -0.2)51.36% (0.2 0.2)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.22799999999999 0.23)31.35% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.264 0.26)67.72% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 48.44%
    Wolfsburg 27.06%
    Draw 24.5%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.06%

How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05
55.0%
Draw
21.7%
Wolfsburg
23.3%
60
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Mainz
Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')
Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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