MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:47:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Bayern

Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Bayern Munich

With just two goals from four December fixtures so far - and a terrible record versus Bayern in the Bundesliga - Wolfsburg are set to end 2023 on a down note. The German champions may be short of their brilliant best right now, but they clearly possess sufficient firepower to take care of business at the Volkswagen Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-3 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
15.27% (-0.344 -0.34) 17.88% (-0.026 -0.03) 66.84% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.812 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.71% (-0.633 -0.63)32.28% (0.633 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.1% (-0.74 -0.74)53.9% (0.74 0.74)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)34.07% (0.829 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.904 -0.9)70.76% (0.905 0.91)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.03% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)8.96% (0.0871 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (-0.209 -0.21)30.57% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 15.27%
    Bayern Munich 66.84%
    Draw 17.88%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.29% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.27%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.231 0.23)
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.158 0.16)
1-4 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.31% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 66.84%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
19.2%
Draw
6.8%
Bayern Munich
74.0%
73
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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