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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Wind (9'), Rogerio (66')
Svanberg (35'), Zesiger (45+4'), Lacroix (59'), Casteels (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Poulsen (52')
Openda (33'), Rose (34'), Simons (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg's league form dropped off a cliff prior to the international break, so Kovac will be hoping that the timing of it has worked in his side's favour. They will take some confidence from beating Leipzig in the DFB-Pokal last month. However, Die Roten Bullen have become a consistent outfit under Rose, with Openda only one goal from moving into double figures in the Bundesliga. We expect the visitors to have a little bit too much firepower in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.97%54.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.86% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)29.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)65.45% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 23.72%
    RB Leipzig 54.31%
    Draw 21.97%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 23.72%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.33%
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.87%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.31%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
RB Leipzig
69.2%
39
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
0-3
RB Leipzig
Forsberg (14'), Laimer (85'), Szoboszlai (90+2')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Roussillon (52')
Steffen (35'), Schlager (65'), Guilavogui (70'), Roussillon (89')

Gvardiol (26'), Adams (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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