MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:23:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
RB Leipzig


Juranovic (32'), Leite (49'), Benes (90+5')
FT

Baumgartner (64'), Poulsen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-3 RB Leipzig

Given that both sides have been vulnerable defensively in recent weeks, fans can expect an entertaining clash. While Union will be looking to capitalise on Leipzig's poor form, they have not shown that they are able to reliably convert chances into goals, and it would not be surprising if the visitors were more clinical in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
36.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 25.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 37.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (0.099000000000004 0.1)48.34% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (0.09 0.09)70.48% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)60.77% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.076000000000008 0.08)24.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.105 0.1)59.62% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 36.45%
    RB Leipzig 37.96%
    Draw 25.58%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 37.96%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
23.9%
Draw
18.6%
RB Leipzig
57.5%
113
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
0-0
Union Berlin
Haidara (53'), Kampl (74')
Benes (26'), Khedira (61'), Svensson (84'), Doekhi (85')
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Union Berlin
Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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