MX23RW : Sunday, April 13 23:06:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

St Pauli
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Afolayan (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Itakura (45+2')
Ullrich (47'), Netz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

While Borussia Monchengladbach will prove to be challenging opponents, St Pauli could benefit from the fact the visitors will be fielding their third-choice goalkeeper. It would be surprising if Die Fohlen succumbed to defeat given their strong form, but they may struggle to keep a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St PauliDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
40% (1.671 1.67) 25.35% (0.273 0.27) 34.65% (-1.945 -1.95)
Both teams to score 56.24% (-1.217 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-1.465 -1.47)47.51% (1.465 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-1.371 -1.37)69.72% (1.371 1.37)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (0.208 0.21)23.53% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (0.3 0.3)57.57% (-0.3 -0.3)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-1.796 -1.8)26.46% (1.795 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-2.453 -2.45)61.64% (2.453 2.45)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 40%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 34.65%
    Draw 25.35%
St PauliDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.589 0.59)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.464 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.242 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.371 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 34.65%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Borussia M'bach

St Pauli
Draw
Borussia Monchengladbach
St Pauli
16.7%
Draw
15.2%
Borussia Monchengladbach
68.2%
66
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 4.30pm
Aug 10, 2015 7.30pm
First Round
St Pauli
1-4
Borussia M'bach
Stindl (54', 67'), Traore (56'), Hazard (86')
Xhaka (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern29216283295469
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29189263342963
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29156858421651
4RB Leipzig29139747371048
5Mainz 05Mainz29137946341246
6Freiburg29136104045-545
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29135114643344
8Borussia DortmundDortmund29126115445942
9Werder Bremen29126114754-742
10Augsburg2911993340-742
11Stuttgart29117115246640
12Wolfsburg29108115145638
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2997132640-1434
14Hoffenheim2979133652-1630
15St Pauli2985162535-1029
16Heidenheim2964193256-2422
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2955192961-3220
18Holstein Kiel2946194070-3018


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