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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | St Pauli |
43.73% ( -0.52) | 24.11% ( 0.14) | 32.15% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 59.8% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% ( -0.48) | 42.52% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( -0.49) | 64.93% ( 0.49) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( -0.42) | 19.65% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% ( -0.69) | 51.62% ( 0.69) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( 0) | 25.57% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( -0) | 60.44% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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