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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
30.73% ( -0.43) | 22.45% ( -0.01) | 46.82% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 65.17% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.83% ( -0.19) | 35.17% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.82% ( -0.21) | 57.18% ( 0.21) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( -0.34) | 22.85% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( -0.51) | 56.58% ( 0.52) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( 0.09) | 15.53% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.55% ( 0.16) | 44.46% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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