MX23RW : Friday, November 8 03:56:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Hoffenheim logo

Werder Bremen
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Schmid (17'), Stage (90+1')
Keita (32'), Ducksch (45+1'), Weiser (56'), Rapp (58'), Jung (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Beier (8'), Promel (29'), Bulter (90+2')
Promel (69'), Akpoguma (72'), Baumann (90'), Vogt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim

Having ended last season in a serious slump after beginning the campaign so quickly to allay any relegation concerns, Werder Bremen could be in for a tougher campaign having sold their star striker Fullkrug to Dortmund. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, appear to be a more serious proposition under Hoeness despite losing to BVB in their last match, and we can envisage the offensive combination of Kramaric and Weghorst helping the visitors to a marginal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
30.73% (-0.434 -0.43) 22.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 46.82% (0.447 0.45)
Both teams to score 65.17% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.83% (-0.188 -0.19)35.17% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.82% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)57.18% (0.215 0.21)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.34400000000001 -0.34)22.85% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-0.513 -0.51)56.58% (0.518 0.52)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)15.53% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (0.16399999999999 0.16)44.46% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 30.73%
    Hoffenheim 46.83%
    Draw 22.45%
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.64% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.63% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.83%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen
16.7%
Draw
30.3%
Hoffenheim
53.0%
66
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hoffenheim
1-2
Werder Bremen
Dabour (32')
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
Oct 25, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 5
Werder Bremen
1-1
Hoffenheim
Eggestein (5')
Friedl (79'), Gebre Selassie (90+2')
Geiger (22')
Posch (59'), Gacinovic (89')
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Werder Bremen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Klaassen (34'), Friedl (60')
Klaassen (65' og.), Baumgartner (79'), Adamyan (83')
Posch (22'), Kramaric (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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