Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Stuttgart

The international break came at the best possible moment for Union Berlin, whose collective confidence understandably appeared to be on the floor after suffering seven straight defeats in all competitions. Stuttgart, on the other hand, have mostly been an irrepressible force, led by their talismanic striker Guirassy. Both teams' contrasting runs of form surely cannot continue for too much longer, particularly in the case of the hosts, who contain too much quality and spirit to keep losing. As such, we can envisage an entertaining score draw in the capital, which is a result that neither manager would likely be too disappointed with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Stuttgart
38.26% ( 0.54)	25.6% ( 0.31)	36.13% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

-1.45)

48.42% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

-1.33)

70.55% (

1.33)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

-0.37)

24.84% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

-0.51)

59.44% (

0.51)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-1.15)

26.02% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-1.58)

61.06% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 38.26%

Stuttgart 36.13%

Draw 25.6%

Union Berlin	Draw	Stuttgart
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.26%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.13%