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Bayern logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
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Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim

Both teams' firepower will almost certainly be blunted by missing their star strikers through injury, with Stuttgart likely to feel the absence of Guirassy in particular given his superb start to the season. Their winning run surely has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and we believe that Hoffenheim have enough about them to avoid defeat on Saturday, with both managers set to be desperate to get one over on their former clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
47.7% (-0.201 -0.2) 22.22% (-0.02 -0.02) 30.08% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.22199999999999 0.22)34.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.251 0.25)56.31% (-0.255 -0.25)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)43.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.238 0.24)22.85% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.353 0.35)56.58% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.7%
    Hoffenheim 30.08%
    Draw 22.22%
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim

Stuttgart
74.5%
Draw
23.5%
Hoffenheim
2.0%
51
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Tomas (80')
Bebou (75')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-2
Stuttgart
Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
Feb 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (85', 90')
Geiger (16'), Baumgartner (33'), Hubner (45+4')
Endo (58')
Anton (81'), Forster (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Stuttgart
3-1
Hoffenheim
Kempf (18'), Mavropanos (60'), Massimo (81')
Mar 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
2-0
Hoffenheim
Adams (15' og.), Kalajdzic (64')

Sessegnon (11'), Grillitsch (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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