MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 18:50:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Wolfsburg

Providing that Stuttgart have their key offensive players available - particularly Guirassy, who has been irresistible so far this season - then we can envisage them moving to the top of the Bundesliga table by recording another win on Saturday. Wolfsburg represent a solid outfit under Kovac, but they remain inconsistent in terms of results, and the former Bayern Munich boss must work out a way to help his side perform better on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
53.47% (-0.273 -0.27) 21.98% (0.041 0.04) 24.54% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.45% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.77% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)60.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)14.22% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.146 -0.15)41.96% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.199 0.2)28.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.249 0.25)64.1% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.48%
    Wolfsburg 24.54%
    Draw 21.98%
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Wolfsburg
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Stuttgart
1-3
Wolfsburg
Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2RB Leipzig532082611
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
4Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
5Heidenheim530210739
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
11Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
12Werder Bremen412148-45
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim4103611-53
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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