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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
51.86% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 23.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% (![]() | 49.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% (![]() | 71.19% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.08% (![]() | 18.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.58% (![]() | 50.42% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.83% (![]() | 35.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% (![]() | 71.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
1-0 @ 11.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |