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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
51.86% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 23.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% (![]() | 49.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% (![]() | 71.19% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.08% (![]() | 18.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.58% (![]() | 50.42% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.83% (![]() | 35.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% (![]() | 71.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
1-0 @ 11.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |