Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Freiburg

Hollerbach (68'), Haberer (90+2')
Knoche (52'), Trimmel (67'), Juranovic (70'), Gosens (75'), Haberer (85'), Laidouni (90+7'), Volland (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doan (85')
Makengo (37'), Doan (54'), Kubler (75'), Eggestein (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Freiburg

It is hard to look beyond a win for Freiburg on Saturday, despite Union's dire need for one. The departing Streich has seen his side thrive on the road in recent weeks, an antithesis of their wretched home form, and they should inflict a fourth straight loss on the Iron Ones on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
37.68% ( 0.98)	25.4% ( 0.18)	36.92% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 56.34% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.52% (

-0.81)

47.48% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

-0.75)

69.69% (

0.75)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.27% (

0.17)

24.73% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71% (

0.23)

59.29% (

-0.23)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86% (

-1)

25.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-1.4)

59.86% (

1.4)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 37.68%

Freiburg 36.92%

Draw 25.39%

Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.68%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.92%