Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Union Berlin2 - 3Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Braga
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Braga
Union Berlin are in need of a big result to act as a springboard amid their disappointing form, but we are finding it very difficult to back them at the moment. Braga are full of quality in the final third of the field, and we are expecting the Portuguese side to claim all three points on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Braga |
28.65% ( 0.02) | 25.34% ( 0) | 46.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( 0.01) | 49.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( 0.01) | 71.63% ( -0.01) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.02) | 31.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.14% ( 0.03) | 67.86% ( -0.02) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0) | 21.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.35% ( -0.01) | 54.64% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Union Berlin 28.65%
Braga 46.01%
Draw 25.33%
| Union Berlin | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.01% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Braga
Union Berlin
32.4%Draw
19.6%Braga
48.0%179
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
