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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Stuttgart

Union Berlin
3 - 0
Stuttgart

Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Leite (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Haraguchi (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Stuttgart

 Despite there being 28 points and 15 positions separating these two teams prior to Saturday's encounter, we can envisage a closely-fought affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. As previously discussed, Stuttgart have found themselves on the wrong end of several tight games so far this season, and we can envisage a similar outcome with the hosts marginally prevailing this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
57.3% (0.225 0.23) 22.61% (-0.087 -0.09) 20.09% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (0.191 0.19)45.97% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (0.178 0.18)68.28% (-0.179 -0.18)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (0.142 0.14)15.79% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06% (0.261 0.26)44.94% (-0.261 -0.26)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)36.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.032 -0.03)73.74% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 57.3%
    Stuttgart 20.09%
    Draw 22.61%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.09%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart

Union Berlin
87.1%
Draw
2.9%
Stuttgart
10.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Stuttgart
0-1
Union Berlin

Karazor (58')
Jaeckel (76')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Union Berlin
Faghir (90+2')
Nartey (55'), Karazor (56')
Karazor (57')
Awoniyi (31')
Khedira (62')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
Stuttgart
Promel (20'), Musa (43')
Promel (9'), Trimmel (83')
Forster (49')
Coulibaly (30'), Karazor (51'), Mavropanos (90+2')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-2
Union Berlin
Kalajdzic (85', 90')
Mavropanos (4'), Klimowicz (31'), Gonzalez (56')
Friedrich (4'), Awoniyi (77')
Promel (35'), Griesbeck (55'), Gogia (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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