Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart5 - 0Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Stuttgart 1-3 Freiburg
Stuttgart showed fine form in thrashing Bochum on the opening day, but the problems that linger were exposed by Leipzig last week. Freiburg completed a league double over Stuttgart and finished 26 points ahead of them last season to emphasise the gulf in class, and not much has changed since, so a similar outcome is expected. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Freiburg |
47.61% ( -0.08) | 23.96% ( 0.01) | 28.43% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
