Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
5 - 0
Freiburg

Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Philipp (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 1-3 Freiburg

Stuttgart showed fine form in thrashing Bochum on the opening day, but the problems that linger were exposed by Leipzig last week. Freiburg completed a league double over Stuttgart and finished 26 points ahead of them last season to emphasise the gulf in class, and not much has changed since, so a similar outcome is expected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
47.61% ( -0.08)	23.96% ( 0.01)	28.43% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

-0.01)

43.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

-0.01)

66.1% (

0.01)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-0.03)

18.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27% (

-0.06)

49.73% (

0.06)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.04)

28.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

0.05)

64.4% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 47.61%

Freiburg 28.43%

Draw 23.95%

Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 47.61%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.43%