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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Freiburg logo

Stuttgart
5 - 0
Freiburg

Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Philipp (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-3 Freiburg

 Stuttgart showed fine form in thrashing Bochum on the opening day, but the problems that linger were exposed by Leipzig last week. Freiburg completed a league double over Stuttgart and finished 26 points ahead of them last season to emphasise the gulf in class, and not much has changed since, so a similar outcome is expected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
47.61% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 28.43% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.012 -0.01)66.1% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)18.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)49.73% (0.058 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)28.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.4% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.61%
    Freiburg 28.43%
    Draw 23.95%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.61%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.43%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
26.6%
Draw
10.9%
Freiburg
62.5%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
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Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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