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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
38.78% ( -1.15) | 25.62% ( 0.13) | 35.6% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.44% ( -0.46) | 48.55% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% ( -0.42) | 70.67% ( 0.42) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.37% ( -0.81) | 24.63% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.86% ( -1.14) | 59.13% ( 1.14) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.37) | 26.4% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.5) | 61.56% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |