Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin0 - 2Hoffenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Aiming for a fourth successive win, Hoffenheim look set to frustrate Union Berlin, who will be fatigued after pushing Real Madrid all the way in midweek. Still, we expect the two sides to play out a low-scoring draw on Saturday, as Union have lost just one of their home league games since the beginning of last season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 37.64% | 24.61% | 37.75% |
| Both teams to score 59.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
