MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:29:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
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Union Berlin
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-4 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

 Union Berlin are missing a ridiculous amount of players through injury at present, which is a shame as it would be great to see both of these sides face each other at full-strength. Although the hosts have looked mightily impressive so far this season - and indeed over the course of their previous three campaigns at this level since gaining promotion - we can envisage Leipzig taking advantage of their opponent's busy treatment table by edging to a tight victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
43.91% (1.058 1.06) 25.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.51% (-1.052 -1.05)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.478 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (-0.399 -0.4)49.74% (0.401 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.357 -0.36)71.75% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.33300000000001 0.33)22.58% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (0.492 0.49)56.19% (-0.49 -0.49)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (-0.919 -0.92)30.22% (0.921 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-1.114 -1.11)66.38% (1.115 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 43.91%
    RB Leipzig 30.51%
    Draw 25.58%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.258 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.267 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
42.9%
Draw
25.7%
RB Leipzig
31.4%
105
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
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1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')
Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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