Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-4 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

Union Berlin are missing a ridiculous amount of players through injury at present, which is a shame as it would be great to see both of these sides face each other at full-strength. Although the hosts have looked mightily impressive so far this season - and indeed over the course of their previous three campaigns at this level since gaining promotion - we can envisage Leipzig taking advantage of their opponent's busy treatment table by edging to a tight victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
43.91% ( 1.06)	25.58% ( -0)	30.51% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26% (

-0.4)

49.74% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25% (

-0.36)

71.75% (

0.36)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

0.33)

22.58% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.81% (

0.49)

56.19% (

-0.49)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

-0.92)

30.22% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62% (

-1.11)

66.38% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 43.91%

RB Leipzig 30.51%

Draw 25.58%

Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.91%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.51%