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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen |
34.77% ( -3.14) | 22.86% ( 0.38) | 42.37% ( 2.76) |
Both teams to score 65.38% ( -2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.39% ( -2.43) | 35.6% ( 2.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.34% ( -2.74) | 57.66% ( 2.74) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( -2.59) | 20.85% ( 2.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.46% ( -4.23) | 53.53% ( 4.23) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.6% ( 0.13) | 17.4% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.18% ( 0.23) | 47.82% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.69) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.42) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.19) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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