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Paderborn logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Benteler-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

SC Paderborn
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Michel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ducksch (30')
Njinmah (81'), Njinmah (84'), Malatini (90+4'), Bittencourt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between SC Paderborn and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Paderborn

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 SC Paderborn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SC Paderborn 2-1 Werder Bremen

 Given Werder Bremen's recent history of being knocked out of the DFB-Pokal by lower-league opposition, it would not be surprising if they were eliminated by Paderborn on Wednesday. Paderborn will no doubt have to surrender possession in order to secure victory, but they will be confident considering their previous win against the hosts in 2022-23. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 1-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
53.08% (0.411 0.41) 21.22% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 25.68% (-0.371 -0.37)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.07% (-0.158 -0.16)32.93% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.36% (-0.181 -0.18)54.64% (0.181 0.18)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (0.066999999999993 0.07)12.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)38.87% (-0.141 -0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.34 -0.34)24.9% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)59.52% (0.476 0.48)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 53.09%
    Werder Bremen 25.69%
    Draw 21.23%
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: SC Paderborn vs Werder Bremen

SC Paderborn
50.0%
Draw
17.5%
Werder Bremen
32.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 5pm
Second Round
SC Paderborn
2-2
Werder Bremen
(Aggregate 2-2 | SC Paderborn win 5-4 on penalties)
Platte (22'), Conteh (42')
Bittencourt (65'), Weiser (84')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
SC Paderborn
3-4
Werder Bremen
Muslija (15' pen., 38'), Platte (57')
Schuster (24'), Klement (35'), Hunemeier (85')
Ducksch (35'), Schmid (60'), Fullkrug (67'), Toprak (86')
Bittencourt (2'), Jung (77')
Aug 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
1-4
SC Paderborn
Schmidt (52')
Friedl (37'), Veljkovic (40')
Platte (9', 17'), Michel (36'), Schallenberg (55')
Schuster (41'), van der Werff (59')
Jun 13, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
SC Paderborn
1-5
Werder Bremen
Sabiri (66')
Gjasula (32'), Jans (39'), Michel (63'), Zolinski (78'), Ritter (80'), Sabiri (82')
Klaassen (20', 39'), Osako (34'), Eggestein (60'), Fullkrug (90+2')
Augustinsson (15'), Klaassen (63'), Fullkrug (80')
Dec 8, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-1
SC Paderborn

Gebre Selassie (84')
Michel (90')
Gjasula (31'), Mamba (41'), Vasiliadis (59'), Collins (84')
rhs 2.0
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