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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
29.53% (![]() | 21.91% (![]() | 48.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.8% (![]() | 33.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.05% (![]() | 54.94% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% (![]() | 22.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.83% (![]() | 56.16% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.8% (![]() | 14.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.09% (![]() | 41.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 6.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 9.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 78 | 26 | 52 | 65 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 59 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 48 |
4 | Mainz 05Mainz | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 45 |
5 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Freiburg | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
8 | Augsburg | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 39 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 38 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 38 |
11 | Stuttgart | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 37 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 27 |
15 | St Pauli | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
16 | Heidenheim | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 67 | -29 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |