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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Stage (36'), Burke (89')
Friedl (25'), Stage (30'), Lynen (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harres (48')
Ivezic (68'), Knudsen (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel

 While Werder Bremen have failed to win any of their first four home games this season, it is worth noting that all of those matches were against top-six opponents, including Dortmund, Bayern Munich, Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen. With this being the hosts' first home game against a team below them in the league standings, and given their opponents' poor away record, we feel the River Islanders will be able to secure their first win of the season at Weserstadion in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
29.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 21.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 48.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (0.035000000000004 0.04)54.94% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)22.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)14.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)41.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.53%
    Holstein Kiel 48.56%
    Draw 21.91%
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.53%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 48.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Holstein Kiel

Werder Bremen
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Holstein Kiel
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-3
Holstein Kiel
Fullkrug (2'), Ducksch (23' pen.)
Weiser (45'), Schmid (67')
Fullkrug (45+2' og.), Jung (71' og.), Korb (85')
Lorenz (23'), Muhling (56'), Korb (82'), Arslan (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mees (45'), Pichler (65')
Neumann (90+3'), Sander (90+7')
Fullkrug (57')
Gruev (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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