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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
vs.
Holstein Kiel

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel

 While Werder Bremen have failed to win any of their first four home games this season, it is worth noting that all of those matches were against top-six opponents, including Dortmund, Bayern Munich, Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen. With this being the hosts' first home game against a team below them in the league standings, and given their opponents' poor away record, we feel the River Islanders will be able to secure their first win of the season at Weserstadion in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Werder Bremen has a probability of 29.58% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win is 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.32%).

Result
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
29.58% (0.00099999999999767 0) 21.92% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 48.49% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 66.42% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.77% (0.31099999999999 0.31)33.23% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.01% (0.35700000000001 0.36)54.98% (-0.357 -0.36)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (0.157 0.16)22.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (0.23399999999999 0.23)56.14% (-0.234 -0.23)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.13499999999999 0.13)14.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.02% (0.261 0.26)41.97% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.58%
    Holstein Kiel 48.49%
    Draw 21.92%
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.78% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.14% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.49%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Holstein Kiel?

Werder Bremen
Draw
Holstein Kiel
Werder Bremen
100%
Draw
0.0%
Holstein Kiel
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-3
Holstein Kiel
Fullkrug (2'), Ducksch (23' pen.)
Weiser (45'), Schmid (67')
Fullkrug (45+2' og.), Jung (71' og.), Korb (85')
Lorenz (23'), Muhling (56'), Korb (82'), Arslan (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mees (45'), Pichler (65')
Neumann (90+3'), Sander (90+7')
Fullkrug (57')
Gruev (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201
> Bundesliga Full Table


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