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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Werder Bremen logo

Frankfurt
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Gotze (45')
Marmoush (56'), Skhiri (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kohn (27'), Werner (49'), Lynen (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Werder Bremen

Eintracht Frankfurt's strong home form and Marmoush's exploits in the final third should make them favourites on Saturday. However, Werder Bremen have been difficult to beat on the road this season, and it would not be surprising if they managed to create opportunities of their own at Deutsche Bank Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
50.92% (0.495 0.49) 21.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.76% (-0.468 -0.47)
Both teams to score 67.23% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.41% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)31.59% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.91% (-0.279 -0.28)53.09% (0.279 0.28)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (0.066999999999993 0.07)12.87% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.73% (0.136 0.14)39.27% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.40899999999999 -0.41)22.84% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.612 -0.61)56.56% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 50.92%
    Werder Bremen 27.76%
    Draw 21.33%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 8.9% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 27.76%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen

Eintracht Frankfurt
81.9%
Draw
12.5%
Werder Bremen
5.6%
72
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Frankfurt
1-1
Werder Bremen
Tuta (77')
Marmoush (23'), Ebimbe (44'), Tuta (82')
Tuta (89')
Veljkovic (62')
Friedl (69'), Ducksch (77')
Stage (73')
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Werder Bremen
2-2
Frankfurt
Ducksch (45+2' pen.), Borre (50')
Jung (46')
Skhiri (65'), Smolcic (75')
Chaibi (25'), Max (37'), Knauff (45+1')
Feb 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Frankfurt
2-0
Werder Bremen
Friedl (7' og.), Kolo (52')
Aug 28, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Werder Bremen
3-4
Frankfurt
Jung (14'), Bittencourt (17'), Fullkrug (90+2' pen.)
Pieper (33')
Gotze (2'), Kolo (32'), Lindstrom (39'), Sow (48')
Trapp (75'), Sow (90+3'), Glasner (90+4'), Knauff (90+6')
Feb 26, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
2-1
Frankfurt
Gebre Selassie (47'), Sargent (62')
Gebre Selassie (35'), Schmid (78'), Friedl (81'), Mohwald (81')
Silva (9')
Rode (40'), Younes (81'), Hutter (90'), Tuta (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt17103440241633
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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