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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Werder Bremen logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Orban (87'), Szoboszlai (90+6')
Henrichs (36'), Szoboszlai (73'), Szoboszlai (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bittencourt (70')
Stark (22'), Werner (23'), Jung (57'), Friedl (58'), Bittencourt (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Werder Bremen

 While Werder Bremen have continued to score goals on an extremely consistent basis, their defensive unit has looked far from watertight all season, and we expect Leipzig to punish them on Sunday. The hosts can not afford to drop any points in their last two home matches against bottom-half teams with a tough test against Bayern sandwiched in between, and we do not expect them to do so as they chase down Champions League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.42%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
70.42% (0.934 0.93) 16.95% (-0.341 -0.34) 12.63% (-0.596 -0.6)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.549 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (0.16099999999999 0.16)34.06% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.07% (0.182 0.18)55.93% (-0.186 -0.19)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.37% (0.25 0.25)8.62% (-0.2521 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.24% (0.60599999999999 0.61)29.76% (-0.61 -0.61)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.775 -0.77)38.86% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (-0.74 -0.74)75.59% (0.73700000000001 0.74)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 70.41%
    Werder Bremen 12.63%
    Draw 16.95%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.22% (0.216 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.04% (0.189 0.19)
4-1 @ 4.76% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.47% (0.12 0.12)
5-1 @ 2.33% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.06 0.06)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 70.41%
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.17% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig
87.8%
Draw
0.0%
Werder Bremen
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Gross (57')
Silva (13'), Schlager (71')
Haidara (21')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Bittencourt (105+1')
Hee-chan (93'), Forsberg (120+1')
Haidara (35'), Kampl (99'), Gulacsi (101')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-4
RB Leipzig
Rashica (61' pen.)
Olmo (23'), Sorloth (32', 41'), Sabitzer (63')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 11
RB Leipzig
2-0
Werder Bremen
Sabitzer (26' pen.), Olmo (41')
Kampl (44'), Mukiele (47'), Upamecano (78')

Augustinsson (25')
Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-0
Werder Bremen
Klostermann (18'), Schick (39'), Mukiele (46')
Upamecano (83')

Eggestein (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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