MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:56:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Freiburg

Philipp (46')
Gross (11'), Stark (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Doan (13'), Eggestein (31'), Sallai (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg

 Werder Bremen's matches have generally been open and entertaining all season long, and we do not expect any different in this meeting, especially with Werner's side almost safe from relegation danger. However, their slight concerns may be prolonged for a little longer if they fall to defeat against Freiburg, who will be highly motivated to return to winning ways in their quest to qualify for the Champions League for the first time in the club's history. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
41.74% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.35% (-0.115 -0.12) 33.91% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.491 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.606 0.61)43.08% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.596 0.6)65.48% (-0.596 -0.6)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.184 0.18)20.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (0.288 0.29)53.41% (-0.289 -0.29)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.44499999999999 0.44)24.8% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.616 0.62)59.38% (-0.617 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 41.74%
    Freiburg 33.91%
    Draw 24.35%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.91%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
22.2%
Draw
18.5%
Freiburg
59.3%
54
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)

Friedl (14')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg

Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
> Preview
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
0-1
Werder Bremen
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-2
Freiburg
Rashica (9'), Gebre Selassie (59')
Bittencourt (57'), Sahin (64'), Veljkovic (83')
Petersen (28', 93')
Gunter (62'), Frantz (75'), Haberer (79')
Haberer (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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