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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Werder Bremen logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 4
Werder Bremen

Ngankam (68'), Lukebakio (79' pen.)
Kempf (29'), Serdar (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ducksch (6', 27', 51'), Weiser (63')
Stage (36'), Schmid (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Werder Bremen

Much will depend on whether Werder are able to select Fullkrug from the start after his recent knock, but the visitors are still capable of scoring goals even without their talismanic figure in attack. We expect Hertha to provide a reaction after finally making the decision to change their manager earlier this week, with Dardai already boasting a strong connection with the club's fanbase. However, they may fall short of the victory that they so desperately require. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
40.87% (0.348 0.35) 24.29% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 34.84% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (0.293 0.29)42.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03% (0.29 0.29)64.97% (-0.289 -0.29)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.29100000000001 0.29)20.95% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (0.44900000000001 0.45)53.7% (-0.447 -0.45)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)58.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 40.87%
    Werder Bremen 34.84%
    Draw 24.29%
Hertha BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Hertha Berlin
21.4%
Draw
50.0%
Werder Bremen
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 7.30pm
Jan 23, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (45+2')
Mittelstadt (9'), Cordoba (26')
Selke (10' pen.), Toprak (29'), Bittencourt (57'), Sargent (77')
Selke (12'), Mbom (21'), Bittencourt (86')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
1-4
Hertha Berlin
Selke (69')
Eggestein (46'), Selke (90+1'), F (90+1')
Pekarik (42'), Lukebakio (45+2'), Cunha (62'), Cordoba (90')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 25
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Werder Bremen
Stark (41'), Cunha (60')
Darida (59'), Klunter (62'), Stark (82')
Sargent (3'), Klaassen (6')
Sargent (71'), Vogt (76'), Klaassen (82')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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