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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Werder Bremen logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 4
Werder Bremen

Ngankam (68'), Lukebakio (79' pen.)
Kempf (29'), Serdar (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ducksch (6', 27', 51'), Weiser (63')
Stage (36'), Schmid (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Werder Bremen

Much will depend on whether Werder are able to select Fullkrug from the start after his recent knock, but the visitors are still capable of scoring goals even without their talismanic figure in attack. We expect Hertha to provide a reaction after finally making the decision to change their manager earlier this week, with Dardai already boasting a strong connection with the club's fanbase. However, they may fall short of the victory that they so desperately require. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
40.87% (0.348 0.35) 24.29% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 34.84% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (0.293 0.29)42.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03% (0.29 0.29)64.97% (-0.289 -0.29)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.29100000000001 0.29)20.95% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (0.44900000000001 0.45)53.7% (-0.447 -0.45)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)58.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 40.87%
    Werder Bremen 34.84%
    Draw 24.29%
Hertha BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Hertha Berlin
21.4%
Draw
50.0%
Werder Bremen
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 7.30pm
Jan 23, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (45+2')
Mittelstadt (9'), Cordoba (26')
Selke (10' pen.), Toprak (29'), Bittencourt (57'), Sargent (77')
Selke (12'), Mbom (21'), Bittencourt (86')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
1-4
Hertha Berlin
Selke (69')
Eggestein (46'), Selke (90+1'), F (90+1')
Pekarik (42'), Lukebakio (45+2'), Cunha (62'), Cordoba (90')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 25
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Werder Bremen
Stark (41'), Cunha (60')
Darida (59'), Klunter (62'), Stark (82')
Sargent (3'), Klaassen (6')
Sargent (71'), Vogt (76'), Klaassen (82')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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