Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 3
FC Koln

Vargas (29')
Vargas (6'), Iago (45+2'), Engels (56')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Skhiri (7'), Martel (16'), Maina (59')
Martel (25'), Schindler (27'), Hubers (72'), Skhiri (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sides would benefit greatly from a win to ease any doubts with relegation still on their minds, but neither have shown the cutting edge needed to be victorious in recent weeks. While Augsburg are the masters of letting winning positions slip, Koln are the most prolific side at coming from behind, having taken a league-high 12 points from losing positions in the Bundesliga this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	FC Koln
37.18% ( 0)	26.08% ( 0.02)	36.75% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.98% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5% (

-0.09)

50.5% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57% (

-0.08)

72.43% (

0.08)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59% (

-0.04)

26.41% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.43% (

-0.06)

61.57% (

0.06)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-0.06)

26.65% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

-0.08)

61.89% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 37.18%

FC Koln 36.75%

Draw 26.07%

Augsburg	Draw	FC Koln
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.18%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.75%