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Milan logo
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 18, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Feyenoord

AC Milan
1 - 1
Feyenoord

Gimenez (1')
Hernandez (44'), Felix (76'), Leao (90+7')
Hernandez (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carranza (73')
Moder (22'), Mitchell (90+3')
Read (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-0 Feyenoord
Saturday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Feyenoord (AC Milan win 2-1 on aggregate)

Only 1.06 Expected Goals (xG) were registered between the two clubs in last week's first leg - the second-lowest total of any UCL game this season - although Feyenoord's away matches have been anything but a dull watch so far. However, with the Eredivisie outfit riddled by injuries and Milan fortifying the walls of their San Siro home of late, we can only envisage Conceicao's troops atoning for their first-leg wrongs and setting up a potential mouthwatering Milan derby in the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawFeyenoord
43.73% (-0.232 -0.23) 22.8% (0.126 0.13) 33.46% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.18% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3% (-0.601 -0.6)35.7% (0.602 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.24% (-0.666 -0.67)57.76% (0.666 0.67)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (-0.328 -0.33)16.89% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (-0.588 -0.59)46.92% (0.589 0.59)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (-0.226 -0.23)21.57% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (-0.349 -0.35)54.66% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 43.73%
    Feyenoord 33.46%
    Draw 22.8%
AC MilanDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.48% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 43.73%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.78% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 33.46%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Feyenoord

AC Milan
83.4%
Draw
11.6%
Feyenoord
5.0%
199
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2025 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Feyenoord
1-0
AC Milan
Paixao (3')
Smal (57'), Milambo (62')

Thiaw (51')
rhs 2.0
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