Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli0 - 2AC Milan
We said: Empoli 1-3 AC Milan
Considering just the first half of games, Milan and Empoli would have actually gained the same number of points this season; in the second half, the Rossoneri would have accrued 13 more. Given their hosts' dismal home record, the visitors should therefore secure maximum points by stepping up their game after half time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
23.92% ( 0.21) | 26.36% ( 0.16) | 49.72% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.27% ( -0.42) | 56.73% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.32% ( -0.34) | 77.68% ( 0.34) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.04) | 39.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.03% ( -0.03) | 75.97% ( 0.03) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0.34) | 22.89% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.35% ( -0.51) | 56.65% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 23.92%
AC Milan 49.71%
Draw 26.35%
| Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.92% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.71% |
How you voted: Empoli vs AC Milan
Empoli
10.8%Draw
4.3%AC Milan
84.9%93
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 28
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Jan 7, 2024 11.30am
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
0-0
Empoli
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
