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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Hellas Verona logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Gimenez (75')
Musah (16'), Jimenez (59'), Gimenez (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Coppola (11'), Niasse (21'), Bradaric (43'), Duda (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Atalanta
Saturday, February 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Hellas Verona

 Although Verona have actually accrued more points on the road than at home, their San Siro curse is set to continue. Despite a change of management, Milan are still hit-and-miss - but they are rarely beaten on home turf by Serie A strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
68.04% (0.25099999999999 0.25) 18.94% (-0.12 -0.12) 13.02% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.219 0.22)42.62% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.216 0.22)65.02% (-0.221 -0.22)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.49% (0.128 0.13)11.51% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61% (0.281 0.28)36.39% (-0.284 -0.28)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)43.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20% (-0.058 -0.06)80% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 68.03%
    Hellas Verona 13.02%
    Draw 18.94%
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.5% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.6% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 68.03%
1-1 @ 8.99% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 13.02%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

AC Milan
83.3%
Draw
12.1%
Hellas Verona
4.5%
66
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan

Dawidowicz (35')
Reijnders (56')
Emerson (25')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 29
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Noslin (64')
Serdar (6'), Baroni (7')
Hernandez (44'), Pulisic (50'), Chukwueze (79')
Tomori (30'), Hernandez (45'), Reijnders (87')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Leao (8')
Thiaw (24'), Musah (58'), Pioli (69+69'), Pulisic (76'), Florenzi (89')

Faraoni (42'), Bonazzoli (55')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-1
Hellas Verona
Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Hernandez (89')
Faraoni (72')
Magnani (49'), Sulemana (60'), Cabal (62'), Depaoli (77')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hellas Verona
1-2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29197365273864
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta29177563283558
4Bologna291411449341553
5Juventus291313345281752
6Lazio2915685041951
7Roma29147844301449
8Fiorentina29146946301648
9AC Milan29138844331147
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2968152844-1626
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515
> Serie A Full Table


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