Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Varosi Stadion
BATE3 - 5Aris Limassol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aris Limassol 6-2 BATE
Wednesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Aris Limassol 6-2 BATE
Wednesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
We said: BATE Borisov 1-1 Aris Limassol (Aris Limassol win 7-3 on aggregate)
Having kicked off the first leg as something of an unknown quantity at Champions League level, Aris have already showed they can make progress in this summer's qualifiers. BATE may have the advantage of being deep into their domestic season, but without the benefit of playing on home soil they will come up short on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
BATE Borisov | Draw | Aris Limassol |
40.42% ( -0.1) | 26.22% ( 0.06) | 33.36% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% ( -0.22) | 51.49% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.7% ( -0.19) | 73.3% ( 0.19) |
BATE Borisov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% ( -0.15) | 25.09% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% ( -0.21) | 59.79% ( 0.21) |
Aris Limassol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.81% ( -0.08) | 29.19% ( 0.08) |