Bodo/Glimt4 - 1Jagiellonia
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
for
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok (Bodo/Glimt win 3-1 on aggregate)
Jagiellonia Bialystok have a lot of quality and are certainly capable of turning the tie around, but we are finding it really difficult to back against Bodo/Glimt. It should be a very tight second leg, but the hosts have enough experience to navigate their way into the playoff round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 71.16% | 16.38% | 12.45% |
| Both teams to score 57.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.9% | 53.09% ( -0) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.14% | 7.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.16% | 27.83% ( -0) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0) | 37.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% | 74.23% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.48% 4-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.89% 5-0 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-2 @ 1.26% 6-0 @ 1.11% 6-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.63% Total : 71.16% | 1-1 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.38% | 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.85% Total : 12.45% |
