MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:35:47| >> :60:1771:1771:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Celtic logo

Dortmund
vs.
Celtic

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 VfL Bochum
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-6 Celtic
Saturday, September 28 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Celtic

For all of Celtic's excellence in the early stages of this season, the Scottish champions may come up short in Dortmund, as they do not tend to travel well in Europe and a huge 'Yellow Wall' will be roaring their hosts on. No fewer than 11 of BVB's 18 goals this term have arrived during the final 30 minutes, so eventually they should break their visitors down and wrap up another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 37.11% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.06%) and 0-1 (4.92%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.71%).

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawCeltic
37.11% (2.821 2.82) 21.79% (0.344 0.34) 41.09% (-3.175 -3.18)
Both teams to score 70.12% (-0.68599999999999 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.35% (-1.142 -1.14)29.65% (1.135 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.23% (-1.395 -1.4)50.76% (1.389 1.39)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (0.736 0.74)17.06% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (1.291 1.29)47.23% (-1.298 -1.3)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-1.598 -1.6)15.45% (1.59 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (-3.064 -3.06)44.31% (3.056 3.06)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 37.11%
    Celtic 41.09%
    Draw 21.79%
Borussia DortmundDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.436 0.44)
1-0 @ 4.66% (0.403 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.36 0.36)
3-2 @ 4.24% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.12% (0.448 0.45)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.316 0.32)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.203 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 37.11%
1-1 @ 8.71% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 7.19% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.64% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.64% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.418 -0.42)
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-3 @ 4.47% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-4 @ 2.09% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 41.09%

Who will win Tuesday's Champions League clash between Dortmund and Celtic?

Borussia Dortmund
Draw
Celtic
Borussia Dortmund
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Celtic
37.5%
8
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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