Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
Panathinaikos

(Braga win 3-1 on aggregate)

Ruiz (51'), Djalo (73')
Niakate (45+5'), Fonte (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mancini (90+5')
Duricic (8'), Arao (84'), Brignoli (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Braga and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Chaves 2-4 Braga
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Panathinaikos (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

We said: Braga 2-1 Panathinaikos

One or two Marseille fans may have learned the hard way about underestimating Panathinaikos, whose week's worth of rest should do them the world of good against Jorge's goal-happy Braga. The hosts' mettle will be put to the test far more than it was against Backa Topola, but their attacking firepower will likely be too hot for Panathinaikos to handle, and the Archbishops ought to head to Athens for next week's second leg defending a slender advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Panathinaikos
54.39% ( -0.02)	23.89% ( 0)	21.72% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

-0)

49.32% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

-0)

71.37% (

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97% (

-0.01)

18.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.08% (

-0.02)

48.91% (

0.02)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78% (

0.02)

37.21% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26% (

0.02)

74% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Braga 54.39%

Panathinaikos 21.72%

Draw 23.89%

Braga	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.39%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.72%